Monday, November 3, 2008
Election '08
The Palin pick made clear that Republicans would have a tougher time attracting disaffected Democrats post-convention than had been supposed this summer. If they're still counting on winning undecided Dems they'll lose this thing big -- there simply aren't enough. I don't have numbers to hand on this, but I'm fairly certain that if every undecided Dem stayed home or even voted for McCain it still wouldn't be enough to make the difference. There are about as many undecided Republicans -- and even more undecideds are unaffiliated with either party.
What's good for the goose is good for the gander. John McCain has been campaigning for the Presidency since 1999 and had his party's nomination sewn up almost half a year before Barack Obama. Why hasn't he closed the deal? But then this election, even the McCain campaign, has been entirely about Barack Obama. For the Republicans that's a losing proposition. Which they'll find out soon enough.
Rick Davis on Undecideds
Written by Matthew Locke at 9:51 AMThis quote from McCain campaign manager Rick Davis is telling:
"If Barack Obama hasn't closed the deal with them after two years in the campaign and a year as the nominee of their party, maybe they're holding out for a good reason."
The Palin pick made clear that Republicans would have a tougher time attracting disaffected Democrats post-convention than had been supposed this summer. If they're still counting on winning undecided Dems they'll lose this thing big -- there simply aren't enough. I don't have numbers to hand on this, but I'm fairly certain that if every undecided Dem stayed home or even voted for McCain it still wouldn't be enough to make the difference. There are about as many undecided Republicans -- and even more undecideds are unaffiliated with either party.
What's good for the goose is good for the gander. John McCain has been campaigning for the Presidency since 1999 and had his party's nomination sewn up almost half a year before Barack Obama. Why hasn't he closed the deal? But then this election, even the McCain campaign, has been entirely about Barack Obama. For the Republicans that's a losing proposition. Which they'll find out soon enough.
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